Santa Tecla vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
7 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
MET
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FIR
0 - 1
AGU
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
FIR
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 2
FIR
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FIR
0 - 4
AGU
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
UES
3 - 4
FIR
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |