Santa Tecla vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
12º
8º
27
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
65% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
JOC
2 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
3 - 3
SAN
52%
27%
22%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 1
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
JOC
2 - 1
FAS
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
CDP
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
FAS
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 4
FAS
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |