Santa Tecla vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
12º
8º
22
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
65% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
FIR
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 2
MET
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
FAS
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
JOC
1 - 4
CHA
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDP
3 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
AGU
15%
27%
59%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |