Santa Tecla vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAN
22%
26%
53%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
3 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALI
20%
25%
56%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
IND
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 3
ALI
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 1
ATL
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ONC
3 - 0
CHA
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAS
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |