Santa Tecla vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 1
SAN
21%
25%
55%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 0
MUN
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
TOP
1 - 1
SAN
4%
10%
86%
|
67 | 18 | 49 | +1 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 2
CDD
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
PAS
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FIR
0 - 2
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |