Santa Tecla vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 1
SAN
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 0
UES
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
SFC
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
3 - 0
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 2
CDD
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 3
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
JUV
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |