Santa Tecla vs El Vencedor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
IND
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 0
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALI
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
MUN
2 - 2
SAN
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
El Vencedor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CEV
1 - 2
JOC
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
CEV
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CEV
0 - 1
ONC
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FAS
4 - 1
CEV
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
SFC
3 - 2
CEV
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |