Santa Tecla vs CD Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
12º
8º
27
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
65% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
JOC
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
CDP
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 2
MET
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 2
CDD
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
CDD
3 - 1
ATL
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
CDD
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 2
AGU
21%
28%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |