Santa Tecla vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
12º
12º
32
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
JOC
3 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
MET
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
JOC
38%
27%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 2
FUE
74%
17%
8%
|
71 | 18 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JOC
3 - 2
ALI
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |