Santa Tecla vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 3
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FIR
0 - 3
SAN
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
FAS
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 2
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
ALI
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 0
AGU
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |