Santa Rosa EC vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+154%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Rosa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SRE
0 - 1
FRA
15%
17%
69%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PAY
1 - 0
SRE
83%
12%
6%
|
13 | 67 | 54 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SRE
1 - 1
IAC
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -4 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ANA
3 - 1
SRE
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
SRE
2 - 3
CAM
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
REM
8%
18%
73%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAS
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 0
CAS
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
AGU
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
SEC
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |