Perú - Liga 2 Playoffs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Los Chankas vs Comerciantes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Chankas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
SRP
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SRP
11 - 0
PIR
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 3
SRP
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SRP
5 - 0
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 1
SRP
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
SRP
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
SFC
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 2
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
AUN
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SRP
5 - 0
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |