Los Chankas vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Chankas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 0
SRP
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SRP
2 - 1
SPO
52%
22%
27%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
SRP
28%
22%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SRP
1 - 0
CHA
85%
12%
4%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
SRP
8%
16%
76%
|
62 | 15 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AUN
1 - 0
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
AUN
1 - 1
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LOS
2 - 1
AUN
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
AUN
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AUN
2 - 2
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |