Santa Rita vs Sete de Setembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
COR
0 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSA
28%
29%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CRB
0 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MUR
49%
25%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
PEN
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CSE
0 - 0
SSS
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
2 - 1
SSS
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 0
IPA
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 2
CSE
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +4 |