Santa Rita vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
4 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSE
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
IPA
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ASA
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CEO
0 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IPA
2 - 0
CSA
26%
29%
45%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
IPA
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
CSE
20%
25%
55%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
IPA
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEO
4 - 0
IPA
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |