Santa Pola vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Pola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPO
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
SPO
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
THD
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ELD
3 - 1
SPO
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELD
9%
16%
76%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 2
RED
15%
21%
64%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 3
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
NUD
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
NUC
5 - 1
NOV
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |