Santa Mónica vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Mónica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 2
SAM
37%
23%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
SAM
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 1
ALG
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 2
SAM
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 1
SPO
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 4
ALG
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 1
MUR
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
SPO
55%
23%
23%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
XIL
2 - 1
MUR
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
34%
26%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |