Santa Marta vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MIA
0 - 0
UDS
53%
25%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
UDS
1 - 1
PLA
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CDZ
1 - 0
UDS
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
UDS
2 - 1
IMP
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
JER
1 - 0
UDS
60%
23%
17%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
MER
69%
18%
12%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ASJ
2 - 4
VIL
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARR
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
VIL
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
OLI
87%
10%
3%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |