Santa Marta vs Atl San José Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
UDS
76%
14%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 0
COR
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 2
UDS
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UDS
2 - 0
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 0
UDS
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Atl San José Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ASJ
0 - 1
MER
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
DBN
2 - 0
ASJ
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ARR
4 - 3
ASJ
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ASJ
4 - 0
COR
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 3
ASJ
46%
26%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |