UD Santa Marta U19 vs Mirandés Charca Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
11º
11º
30
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BCF
4 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 3
UNI
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 3
SAN
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CDP
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
SAN
24%
23%
54%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Mirandés Charca Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
SAL
25%
21%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
REA
4 - 0
CHA
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
UDS
36%
24%
40%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PUE
4 - 0
CHA
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 3
PON
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |