Santa Marta vs Usagre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ZAF
2 - 0
SMA
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
CDE
17%
19%
65%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UCL
1 - 0
SMA
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
4 - 0
SPR
50%
22%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GAR
4 - 1
SMA
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Usagre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SEG
3 - 2
USA
31%
24%
45%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
ZAF
63%
20%
18%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CDE
7 - 0
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
USA
0 - 4
UCL
27%
23%
50%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPR
2 - 1
USA
34%
24%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |