Santa Marta vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
76.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
USA
3 - 1
SMA
62%
20%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 2
GAR
26%
22%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UDF
2 - 1
SMA
79%
14%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
2 - 1
CPG
19%
22%
60%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 2
ZAF
14%
22%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
UCL
2 - 0
CPO
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 2
UCL
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UCL
2 - 0
CDS
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CDS
1 - 2
UCL
47%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UCL
3 - 3
MON
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |