Santa Marta vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
74.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CPG
2 - 1
SMA
76%
14%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CPO
5 - 1
SMA
72%
17%
11%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
6 - 1
SPR
38%
23%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ZAF
2 - 0
SMA
73%
17%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 2
USA
28%
25%
47%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
UCL
3 - 0
CPO
53%
23%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
UCL
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
USA
2 - 2
UCL
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
UCL
3 - 3
CPG
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
EXT
1 - 2
UCL
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |