Santa Marta vs Guadiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
COD
0 - 4
SMA
24%
22%
55%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SMA
3 - 0
CPA
65%
20%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 0
LOB
45%
24%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SNV
1 - 1
SMA
20%
21%
60%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SMA
4 - 0
CPC
74%
17%
10%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guadiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 3
SNV
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CPC
0 - 1
GUA
10%
18%
71%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
GEV
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CFS
1 - 2
GUA
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GUA
4 - 2
VAL
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |