Santa Marta vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 1
SMA
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CHI
5 - 2
SMA
54%
22%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
CHI
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 2
SMA
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 2
AMA
30%
25%
45%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EMD
1 - 3
CPO
40%
25%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
EMD
1 - 0
ZAF
44%
26%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDE
4 - 1
EMD
80%
13%
8%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
EMD
0 - 3
UCL
23%
23%
54%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SPR
1 - 1
EMD
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |