Santa Marta vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CPO
0 - 0
SMA
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
SMA
21%
21%
58%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 3
ADV
40%
23%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ADV
3 - 2
SMA
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EMD
0 - 1
USA
65%
20%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
EMD
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
EMD
1 - 2
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EMD
1 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
EMD
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |