Santa Marta vs Chinato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 2
SMA
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 2
AMA
30%
25%
45%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CPG
2 - 3
SMA
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 1
SEG
64%
19%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
USA
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chinato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDE
2 - 2
CHI
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
CDE
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
4 - 0
CHI
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
6 - 2
MAL
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 5
CHI
23%
23%
54%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |