Santa Mariña vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Mariña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UMI
1 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
PUE
43%
23%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
PON
84%
12%
5%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 4
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 3
MIN
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAL
63%
21%
16%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 4
ARC
40%
24%
36%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAL
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAL
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |