Santa Maria vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
BRA
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
OSL
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
VIA
45%
27%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
VIA
1 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
NIN
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FAF
1 - 0
PIN
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FAF
4 - 0
CER
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
FAF
42%
27%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
FAF
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FAF
2 - 1
PED
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |