Santa Maria vs Cerveira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
OSL
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PED
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 3
BRA
44%
27%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VIE
2 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
PED
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CER
0 - 1
PED
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
CER
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CER
2 - 2
VIE
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VIA
1 - 0
CER
51%
24%
25%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CER
1 - 3
VIA
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |