Santa Maria vs Cerveira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
86%
11%
3%
|
38 | 77 | 39 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MIR
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAF
2 - 1
SAN
69%
20%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
OSL
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CER
1 - 1
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CER
2 - 0
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 1
CER
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CER
0 - 1
FAF
20%
25%
55%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CER
3 - 0
OSL
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +3 |