Santa Maria del Pilar vs Racing Villaverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+620%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria del Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FPG
1 - 1
SMP
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EMV
0 - 2
SMP
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SMP
4 - 1
DOS
53%
20%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VVB
2 - 2
SMP
41%
23%
37%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SMP
3 - 1
TAJ
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Villaverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RVI
1 - 1
DOS
18%
19%
64%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VVB
0 - 0
RVI
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
RVI
2 - 3
TAJ
20%
22%
58%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CMP
2 - 1
RVI
83%
12%
5%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RVI
0 - 1
CIU
17%
19%
64%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |