UD Morón vs PD Rociera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VEN
5 - 0
MOR
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PUE
3 - 0
MOR
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
CDD
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
4 - 1
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 0
CDD
30%
24%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ROC
0 - 1
PUE
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 2
ROC
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
ROC
45%
24%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 0
MAI
37%
25%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 0
MON
42%
24%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |