UD Morón vs Mosqueo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UDR
1 - 0
MOR
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 2
UDR
53%
23%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 5
MOR
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 1
MOR
48%
23%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mosqueo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MSQ
0 - 0
PUE
17%
21%
62%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 3
MSQ
74%
16%
11%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
MSQ
1 - 3
MON
20%
22%
57%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 1
MSQ
68%
19%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
MSQ
1 - 3
MAI
27%
25%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |