UD Morón vs Mairena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
MSQ
2 - 1
MOR
36%
25%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 0
MOR
30%
24%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
MON
24%
22%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 4
UDR
30%
24%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 3
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 0
PUE
68%
20%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 0
MAI
25%
24%
52%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 0
VEN
43%
25%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAI
2 - 1
CDD
67%
20%
14%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MON
4 - 1
MAI
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |