Santa Maria vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAN
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
6 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
SAN
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 0
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 1
GAM
18%
21%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAM
65%
19%
17%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 0
GAM
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 0
PLA
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |