Santa Maria vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 4
CAP
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
CEI
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SED
1 - 2
SAN
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 0
TAG
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 4
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 0
GAM
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
GAM
3 - 2
BRA
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CEI
3 - 0
GAM
37%
26%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |