Saint Lucia vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CYM
0 - 0
LCA
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
LCA
1 - 2
HTI
9%
15%
76%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 3
LCA
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
LCA
0 - 0
DMA
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
BRB
1 - 1
LCA
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ABW
0 - 2
MSR
77%
14%
10%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
GLP
0 - 0
ABW
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
ABW
3 - 1
BMU
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +5 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ABW
0 - 2
KNA
13%
19%
67%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ATG
2 - 1
ABW
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |