Saint Lucia vs S. Vicente y las Granadinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
66%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
5 - 1
CUW
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PRI
3 - 0
LCA
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LCA
0 - 4
PRI
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
KNA
1 - 1
LCA
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LCA
0 - 7
CAN
9%
17%
74%
|
36 | 81 | 45 | -1 |
Matches
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GUY
1 - 2
VCT
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VCT
1 - 2
ATG
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
VCT
1 - 0
ATG
28%
24%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VCT
1 - 0
GUY
24%
24%
51%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
VCT
0 - 2
BLZ
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |