Saint Lucia vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
69.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
GRD
2 - 1
LCA
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
VCT
0 - 2
LCA
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
0 - 3
GUY
15%
21%
65%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
1 - 0
VCT
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
BRB
0 - 2
JAM
13%
22%
65%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
TTO
2 - 0
JAM
45%
25%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
JAM
0 - 1
TTO
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
JAM
2 - 2
HND
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
USA
2 - 0
JAM
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |