WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 1 Final
Global 10-0
Saint Lucia vs British Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VCT
1 - 1
LCA
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VGB
0 - 1
LCA
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LCA
1 - 2
VCT
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
GLP
2 - 0
LCA
58%
21%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
LCA
4 - 5
MTQ
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
British Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
KNA
4 - 2
VGB
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VGB
0 - 1
LCA
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VGB
1 - 2
DMA
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
VGB
5 - 0
VIR
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
VGB
0 - 1
DMA
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |