WC Qual. CONCACAF 1ra Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Saint Lucia vs Turks and Caicos Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
TCA
2 - 1
LCA
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
LCA
0 - 2
VAN
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2007 |
LCA
5 - 3
VAN
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VCT
8 - 0
LCA
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
LCA
1 - 7
HTI
4%
14%
82%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Turks and Caicos Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
TCA
2 - 1
LCA
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
TCA
2 - 3
BHS
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2006 |
CYM
0 - 2
TCA
74%
16%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CUB
6 - 0
TCA
89%
9%
2%
|
35 | 75 | 40 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
TCA
0 - 2
HTI
7%
14%
79%
|
35 | 76 | 41 | 0 |