Saint Lucia vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.4%
82.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
JAM
4 - 0
LCA
88%
9%
2%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
GUY
2 - 0
LCA
54%
22%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
GUY
3 - 2
LCA
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
JAM
2 - 1
LCA
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LCA
1 - 1
JAM
5%
17%
78%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
HTI
4 - 0
VCT
82%
13%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
HTI
2 - 1
LKA
84%
12%
5%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
HTI
3 - 1
LKA
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
GTM
1 - 1
HTI
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GTM
2 - 1
HTI
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |