WC Qual. CONCACAF 2da Ronda Final
Global 1-9
Saint Lucia vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
67.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
GTM
6 - 0
LCA
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ATG
6 - 1
LCA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
LCA
2 - 0
TCA
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
TCA
2 - 1
LCA
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
LCA
0 - 2
VAN
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
GTM
6 - 0
LCA
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 0
GTM
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GTM
0 - 1
PAN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
SLV
0 - 0
GTM
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
GTM
1 - 0
HTI
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |