Saint Lucia vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
74%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
LCA
2 - 4
KNA
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 1
LCA
85%
12%
3%
|
36 | 80 | 44 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BRB
4 - 0
LCA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
LCA
4 - 2
ABW
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
ABW
4 - 2
LCA
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
PRI
0 - 3
CAN
11%
19%
70%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 1
LCA
85%
12%
3%
|
80 | 36 | 44 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
GLP
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
USA
2 - 0
CAN
80%
14%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |