WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Saint Lucia vs Antigua and Barbuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
50.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 3
LCA
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LCA
0 - 2
GRD
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 2
VCT
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 1
DMA
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
GUY
2 - 0
LCA
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 3
LCA
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 0
VGB
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 10 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 0
DMA
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ATG
0 - 2
MTQ
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
JAM
3 - 0
ATG
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |