Saint Lucia vs Antigua and Barbuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
LCA
3 - 0
MSR
94%
6%
1%
|
45 | 6 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
KNA
1 - 1
LCA
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
LCA
3 - 1
GRD
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
LCA
0 - 3
PAN
9%
17%
74%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
PAN
4 - 0
LCA
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
KNA
2 - 0
ATG
63%
20%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
ATG
5 - 4
MSR
93%
6%
1%
|
47 | 6 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
ANT
3 - 0
ATG
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
KNA
2 - 3
ATG
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ATG
2 - 0
ANT
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +2 |