Santa Lucía vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SIR
1 - 1
SLU
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SLU
4 - 1
NAX
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
ZEB
0 - 3
SLU
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
ZEJ
3 - 3
SLU
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
SLU
3 - 0
QRE
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
ZEJ
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
QRE
6 - 3
SAN
39%
23%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
LIJ
59%
21%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAN
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
SWI
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |