Santa Lucía vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
SLU
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
3 - 3
MGA
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 2
HIB
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
SLU
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 2
SLU
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 1
GZI
26%
25%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HAM
4 - 1
NAX
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 0
MOS
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
NAX
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |