Santa Lucía vs Marsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SWI
2 - 2
SLU
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SLU
0 - 0
VIT
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GUD
1 - 1
SLU
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SLU
1 - 1
PAT
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MQA
0 - 5
SLU
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
ZEJ
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
QRE
3 - 2
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
VAL
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
LIJ
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
ZEB
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |